MLB April 13: Edge Plays Went 5-3

Positive-edge moneyline plays went 5-3, and the broader side card held up better than totals.

April 13 is easier to read if you start with the edge bucket. Positive-edge moneyline plays finished 5-3, while the stronger 5%+ group went 1-2. That is not a dominant edge day, but it still gives the slate a clear shape. The full card finished 7-3 on moneylines, 6-4 on run lines, and 3-7 on totals, so the side markets held up much better than the scoring read.

The better side results came in several different forms. Seattle beat Houston 6-2 and completed the sweep, which made the Mariners one of the cleaner favorite wins on the board. Philadelphia also did what it needed to do in a 13-7 win over the Cubs, getting two homers from Kyle Schwarber while opening the game up in the middle innings. Pittsburgh had the biggest margin of the night, crushing Washington 16-5 behind a blowout that never got tight late. 

The edge bucket was not spotless. Arizona was one of the stronger plus-money looks, but the Diamondbacks blew a six-run lead and lost 9-7 in Baltimore. Atlanta was another miss despite sitting in the stronger edge tier, falling 10-4 to Miami after the Marlins broke a 3-3 tie with a three-run fifth and never let the Braves back in. Boston also lost 13-6 in Minnesota after Garrett Crochet got knocked out in the second inning. 

That is why the day still comes back to the side card more than the edge headline alone. Picking winners worked. Totals did not. Only three totals got home, and too many games ran away from the projected scoring range. The useful takeaway is simple: the side card was solid, the strongest edge tier was more mixed, and totals were the drag.

Dr. Cover